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Markets

Headlines only part of stock market story

By Kyle Tetting
The coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan, China, is getting blamed for late January’s stock market volatility. A mysterious virulent disease is certainly cause for concern and offers a tidy cause-and-effect explanation for investor skittishness, but it hardly tells the whole story of the swing in stock prices. Several concerns predated the outbreak.



Stock values: Looking forward to earnings

The highest price-earnings ratios in more than a decade have investors eyeing corporate earnings. […]



Multiple reasons for an exceptional 2019

By Kyle Tetting
Tail winds for stock prices resulted in exceptional returns for 2019. Notably, though, the strong stock performance was not accompanied by strong earnings growth. Over time, stock prices are driven by earnings and interest rates but, as we saw in 2019, prices can deviate from earnings, at least temporarily. […]



Seeking balance as the world turns slower

By Joel Dresang
Even though a slower global economy should not alarm most U.S. investors, it’s worth monitoring. At the same time, it’s not worth trying to avoid overseas investments. Being part of the global market is essential to a balanced portfolio. […]



Holiday shoppers raise economic trend line

By Kyle Tetting
Investors have plenty to be thankful for as they consider portfolio returns entering the final weeks of 2019. Asset classes, virtually across the board, have added meaningfully to returns, with only a couple of periods of modest volatility. Despite the successes, though, 2019 hasn’t all been good news.



Summer calm meets heightened volatility

By Kyle Tetting
Summer is supposed to be a quiet stretch for stocks, especially the month of August. With warm weather and summer vacations, most traders would rather be at the beach than on a computer. Typically, trading volumes are lower, and daily price swings are less volatile. Stock markets in 2019 have given investors plenty of reasons to head to the beach, but this August has offered more than usual to think about.



Older, slower, but still growing

By Kyle Tetting
We knew recovery from a financial crisis would be slow, but the more deliberate pace has allowed for protracted growth without the economic overheating that accompanies many expansions. […]



Fed’s about-face, interest rates, earnings

In a MONEY TALK VIDEO, Bob Landaas and Marc Amateis explain how recent trends in monetary policy could affect investors. […]



As the world (more slowly) turns

By Kyle Tetting
The performance of stocks in May reflects growing uncertainty about the state of global economic growth. The trade war with China has exacerbated the problem, but it is unfair to blame the entirety of the decline on increased tariffs and ongoing uncertainty. With strong year-to-date returns and growing uncertainty, it can be tempting for investors to try to time an exit from stocks. Current concerns also coincide with misguided investment wisdom to “sell in May.” While it’s never too late to revisit allocations, for a variety of reasons, it is not time to abandon stocks.



Forecasts suggest an earnings recession

Even as stock indexes hit record highs, investors may already be in the first earnings recession in three years. […]



Spring 2019 investment outlook

With stock prices rebounding from a late-year sell-off, Bob Landaas and Kyle Tetting discuss earnings, interest rates and prospects for investors. […]



Looking forward for long-term investors

By Bob Landaas
Last month, I wrote that the trade disputes with China were holding back the U.S. economy and along with it, stock prices. Since then, moderate progress on trade issues and a postponement of even higher tariffs on China have sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average 1500 points higher.
The uncertainties of the trade wars have held back corporate spending and were cited as the top concern by companies in their earnings calls. Even a partial resolution of the trade problems could unleash spending as the outlook becomes clearer.




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