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Markets

What corporate tax cuts mean for investors

Corporations receiving federal tax cuts have several ways they can share the wealth with their investors. In a MONEY TALK VIDEO, Marc Amateis offers some pros and cons of four top options for companies looking to pass tax breaks along to shareholders. […]



Spring 2018 Investment Outlook

The return of stock volatility and sudden rise in interest rates that marked the first quarter of 2018 help inform the outlook for long-term investors. Brian Kilb and Kyle Tetting explain in a MONEY TALK VIDEO. […]



Are we there yet? Rewards of the journey

By Kyle Tetting
As this bull market passes nine years old, I’m dismayed by the number of so-called experts just fixated on its conclusion. An obsession with the end of this cycle is misguided, and it ignores the fact that cycles come and go for patient, balanced, long-term investors.



Correction: Volatility has returned

By Kyle Tetting
This year is off to a strong start. Continued global growth and prospects from tax reform have raised expectations for corporate earnings. At the same time, each new release of economic data suggests more of the Goldilocks growth story (not too hot, not too cold) that has underlined the past few years. However, just as we began to tie a bow on January’s strong returns, a single dark cloud emerged.



How interest rates are shaping up

Kyle Tetting shows how movements in the yield curve suggest what’s happening in the economy and what investors are expecting. […]



Balance between stretching and snapping

By Kyle Tetting
With the recent strong performance of U.S. stocks and the favorable economic landscape, the forward P/E for the S&P 500 has been stretched to around 18.5 times 2018 earnings. On average, over the last 25 years, that number has been closer to 16. Such strained valuations have been supported by investor optimism and low interest rates, but they also have raised concerns about the duration and extent of the current bull market.



Investment Outlook 2018

Amid forecasts for more market growth, Brian KIlb and Kyle Tetting advise investors to be cautious, particularly because of valuations and volatility. […]



Counting my blessings (instead of sheep)

By Brian Kilb
I’m taking Bing Crosby’s advice in the movie “White Christmas” by counting my many blessings as the year 2017 ends. If one’s blessings come in the form of portfolio returns, then most of us can consider it quite a year as performance for both stocks and bonds across the globe exceeded expectations.



Thankful investors, don’t overlook bonds

By Kyle Tetting
It’s too early to put a bow on what has been an encouraging year for investors, but in the spirit of the season, there is much to be thankful for. Synchronous economic expansion has given rise to double-digit returns in global stock markets. Rising asset prices – both stocks and housing – have boosted investor confidence, which has been further supported by strong corporate earnings and forecasts for continued growth. Lost in the stock market euphoria, though, many investors are overlooking a good year for bonds.



Taking precautions amid stock run

By Kyle Tetting
Through more than three quarters of 2017, returns on stocks have impressed. The S&P 500 has set new record highs, on average, every fourth trading day this year. But, years removed from any real statement shock, we run the risk of projecting impressive returns too far into the future. In recent years, big gains have added to stock exposure for investors. That should continue to play well in a market favorable to stocks, but the way forward will likely look different than the way we’ve come.



Valuing Investments: Price-Earnings Ratio

Investors weighing whether to buy, sell or hold stocks can use the price-earnings ratio to put an objective value on the investments. Dave Sandstrom explains in a MONEY TALK VIDEO that it’s a tool better used for the broader market than individual securities. He also says be sure what kind of P/E you’re using. […]



Anticipating the return of volatility

By Kyle Tetting
Through eight months of trading in 2017, the S&P 500 has experienced a daily price movement of 1% or more (up or down) just seven times. Seven is far below the historical average, accounting for less than 5% of the trading days so far this year. Since 1950, 20% of trading days had a price movement of 1% or more.
A short-term rise in volatility can speak to fear or greed or expectations for the good and bad that might occur, but the general lack of volatility also tells a story.




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