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Markets

Midyear 2018 Investment Outlook

Halfway through 2018, investment advisors Brian Kilb and Kyle Tetting discuss the prospects for stock markets, fixed-income investments and the global economy in a MONEY TALK VIDEO.



Rising Rates – Not all bad news

By Kyle Tetting
While we still have a long way to go, 2018 has been a tougher year than most for bond investors. A big move for bonds looks nothing like a big move for stocks, but even a couple percent decline feels worse for bonds because they are, after all, the less volatile part of a balanced portfolio.



Handling a record shift in stock volatility

Although stock market volatility merely returned to typical ranges in 2018, the abrupt resurgence was unprecedented, jarring some investors into feeling roller-coaster price swings. Dave Sandstrom offers some perspective in a MONEY TALK VIDEO. […]



Two factors that matters most: An update

By Kyle Tetting
Long-term, two factors drive the direction of stock prices: Earnings and interest rates. The overwhelming direction for both earnings and stock prices is higher. And though the lines do diverge on occasion, the divergence typically doesn’t last long.
We started 2018 with elevated stock valuations and markets excited about the prospects for future earnings. But short-term, other factors besides earnings and interest rates can move stock prices.



What corporate tax cuts mean for investors

Corporations receiving federal tax cuts have several ways they can share the wealth with their investors. In a MONEY TALK VIDEO, Marc Amateis offers some pros and cons of four top options for companies looking to pass tax breaks along to shareholders. […]



Spring 2018 Investment Outlook

The return of stock volatility and sudden rise in interest rates that marked the first quarter of 2018 help inform the outlook for long-term investors. Brian Kilb and Kyle Tetting explain in a MONEY TALK VIDEO. […]



Are we there yet? Rewards of the journey

By Kyle Tetting
As this bull market passes nine years old, I’m dismayed by the number of so-called experts just fixated on its conclusion. An obsession with the end of this cycle is misguided, and it ignores the fact that cycles come and go for patient, balanced, long-term investors.



Correction: Volatility has returned

By Kyle Tetting
This year is off to a strong start. Continued global growth and prospects from tax reform have raised expectations for corporate earnings. At the same time, each new release of economic data suggests more of the Goldilocks growth story (not too hot, not too cold) that has underlined the past few years. However, just as we began to tie a bow on January’s strong returns, a single dark cloud emerged.



How interest rates are shaping up

Kyle Tetting shows how movements in the yield curve suggest what’s happening in the economy and what investors are expecting. […]



Balance between stretching and snapping

By Kyle Tetting
With the recent strong performance of U.S. stocks and the favorable economic landscape, the forward P/E for the S&P 500 has been stretched to around 18.5 times 2018 earnings. On average, over the last 25 years, that number has been closer to 16. Such strained valuations have been supported by investor optimism and low interest rates, but they also have raised concerns about the duration and extent of the current bull market.



Investment Outlook 2018

Amid forecasts for more market growth, Brian KIlb and Kyle Tetting advise investors to be cautious, particularly because of valuations and volatility. […]



Counting my blessings (instead of sheep)

By Brian Kilb
I’m taking Bing Crosby’s advice in the movie “White Christmas” by counting my many blessings as the year 2017 ends. If one’s blessings come in the form of portfolio returns, then most of us can consider it quite a year as performance for both stocks and bonds across the globe exceeded expectations.




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